NY Mets vs. NY Yankees,
06/11/2019 13:05 EDT,
Score: 5 - 12
Total: -120/+9 Over
Mets RH Zack Wheeler (5-3, 4.61 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Masahiro Tanaka (3-5, 3.42)
Tanaka will return from a brief paternity leave to make the start against the Mets. He's given up eight earned runs in his last 12 innings and looks vulnerable in his current form. Meanwhile, Mets starter Wheeler has yet to rediscover his second-half form from 2018. He’s allowed three or four runs allowed in each of his last four starts, garnering a 4.13 ERA over that stretch. My own projections estimate he will give up at least 4 to 6+ runs today and for this total to be eclipsed.( NYY have averaged 5.6 rpg vs RHP)
Over is 9-4-1 in Yankees last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 3-0-2 in Wheelers last 5 starts during game 1 of a series. Over is 6-2-3 in Wheelers last 11 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Over is 5-1-1 in Mets last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in New York.
Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
NY METS are 32-12 OVER as a road underdog of +150 or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored.
NY YANKEES are 11-3 OVER after 4 or more consecutive road games this season with a combined average of 10.6 rpg.