MLB Total Winner

MLB Total Winner

NY Mets vs. Pittsburgh, 08/02/2019 19:05 EDT, Score: 4 - 8

Total: -109/+9 Over

Sportsbook: PinnacleSports

Result: Win

Take over 9 runs

The Mets are on a roll and the Pirates are slumping. The Mets send Steven Matz (6-6, 4.32 ERA) to the mound to face Pirates starter Trevor Williams (3-4, 4.87 ERA). These two squared off this past Saturday in a pitchers duel that saw Matz throw a complete game shutout and Williams throw 7 innings of 3 run ball. Both pitchers have good numbers against each others club so you might think the over is a strange play. One reason I like the over is these hitters recently saw these pitchers. The hitters will adjust their approach at the plate and I expect more runs to be scored. Also, Matz has a 6.40 ERA on the road and Williams' ERA is 5.71 at home. While at first glance the under seems like the play, once you step inside the numbers the play is definitely the over. Take over 9 runs.

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