Afternoon POWER-HOUR (Brewers/Cubs) ~ 5-0 SWEEP Thursday! PERFECT 9-0 L3 Days!
Milwaukee vs. Chi Cubs,
08/02/2019 14:20 EDT,
Score: 2 - 6
Money Line: -142 Chi Cubs
8* Chi Cubs (2:20 ET): For the third straight series, the Cubs are not only facing an opponent from within their own division (NL Central), but one they are also battling for playoff position. The Cubbies dropped two of three in each of the previous two series and I was "lukewarm" on them in both, even going against them in Tuesday's loss to St. Louis. The reason being is that they were on the road (where they are now just 21-33 for the season). But now they're back in Wrigley (where they're 36-18) and looking for revenge after dropping 2 of 3 in Milwaukee last weekend. This time, I back the Cubs in a series opener.
While these teams are only a game apart in the standings and scored a nearly identical number of runs over the course of the year, those two metrics do not tell the full story here. The Cubs have ALLOWED 79 fewer runs this season than have the Brewers. They are especially stingy here at the Friendly Confines where they allow just 3.8 rpg, which is 4th fewest in all of baseball. They did lose two low-scoring games at Miller Park last weekend before winning the finale 11-4. I fully anticipate the Brewers struggling to score again in this series, starting w/ today's matchup vs. lefty Jose Quintana, who has a 3-0 TSR his L3 starts. He was the starter for that 11-4 win over the Brewers last Sunday.
Though the Cubs just dropped two of three at both Milwaukee and St. Louis, they still have a much better YTD run differential than those two division foes. In fact, the Brew Crew have actually been outscored this season in spite of a 57-53 record. They are sub-.500 on the road after dropping 2 of 3 in Oakland to start the week. The schedule makers are doing them no favors here, making them go from Oakland to Chicago w/o a day off. Starter Zach Davies has struggled in B2B starts, giving up 14 runs in just 9 IP, seven of them to the Cubs last Sunday. Look for Quintana to beat Davies for the 2nd straight time. 8* Chi Cubs