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LA Angels vs. Cleveland, 08/04/2019 13:10 EDT, Score: 2 - 6

Total: +106/+9 Under

Sportsbook: PinnacleSports

Result: Win

8* Under Angels/Indians (1:10 ET): This series has seen the Indians maintain their mastery over the Angels here at Progressive Field. The teams' last 15 meetings here in Cleveland have seen the home team win 14 times, including 7-3 and 7-2 the last two days. I'm banking on today's game being a little lower scoring as we've got two pretty good starters on the mound and it's not as if the Indians are some kind of offensive juggernaut. They are however #2 in fewest runs allowed in the entire American League (and #3 overall in MLB). Take the Under.

The Tribe will go w/ Shane Bieber on Sunday. Last time out, Bieber lost for the first time in a month, but don't put the blame on his shoulders. He allowed only two runs in seven innings vs. Houston, but it was a hard-luck final of 2-0. His start prior to that was a complete game, one-hit shutout in Toronto. Bieber has allowed 3 ER or fewer in eight of his last nine starts overall, going at least six innings on seven different occasions. For the season, he has a 0.998 WHIP, which is third best in the American League. He's also top 10 in ERA. All but five of his 20 starts this season have stayed Under the total.

The Angels counter w/ Jaime Barria, who should keep his team in this one. Barria has started five times this year and the Under is a perfect 5-0! He's gone exactly five innings every time out and last time surrendered only three runs (one unearned) and four hits. I concede that Cleveland has been on a real offensive surge lately, but consider some of the competition. The Under is 37-17-1 in the Indians' last 55 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Being that the home team is such a big favorite on the ML here, the hope is we don't have to play the bottom of the ninth. 8* Under Angels/Indians

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