O/U POWER-BOMB *SPECIAL* (Only $25!) ~ 4-0 Sunday! **21-2 Run Last 6 Days!**
Milwaukee vs. Pittsburgh,
08/05/2019 19:05 EDT,
Score: 9 - 7
Total: -110/+9½ Over
8* Over Brewers/Pirates (7:05 ET): As I suspected might be the case, Jordan Lyles took advantage of a new "lease on life" in his first start for the Brewers. Just days after being traded away from Pittsburgh, Lyles allowed just one runs and three hits and got the win in his Milwaukee debut, 4-2 in Oakland. However, we shouldn't forget that was Lyles' best performance in ages. His Pirates' tenure ended w/ him going 0-6 over his final eight starts (0-8 TSR) and he still has a 9.34 ERA and 2.153 WHIP his L7 starts overall. He'll face his former team tonight and I expect it to be a high-scoring game. Take the Over.
While there's no doubt that Lyles struggled w/ the Pirates, being on a bad team certainly didn't help. As I predicted would happen, the Pirates have been in a free-fall. Since the All-Star Break, they've lost 18 of 22 games and they were just soundly beaten on Sunday, 13-2 by the Mets. Throughout the season, the Over has always been a safe bet w/ the Bucs as it's gone 63-42-6 in all games, including 6-1 the L7. That's the 3rd highest Over rate in the league this season. One positive for Pittsburgh going into this one is they've had plenty of success against their former teammate (Lyles) in the past. In 13 career appearances, some of them coming w/ Milwaukee in a previous stint, Lyles is 1-5 w/ a 6.99 ERA against the Pirates.
Of course, the Brew Crew are slumping right now too as they just got swept by the Cubs over the weekend. A big problem for them has been lack of offense as they have scored just 14 runs in the last six games. On Saturday & Sunday, they went 1 for 12 w/ RISP. But the good news is this still a strong lineup, one that should bounce back against Pirates starter' Dario Agrazal, who has given up 5 HR in his past two starts. Pittsburgh has given up a ton of runs per game (5.9!) all season here at PNC Park and that doesn't figure to change anytime soon. 8* Over Brewers/Pirates