Milwaukee vs. Pittsburgh,
08/06/2019 19:05 EDT,
Score: 4 - 3
Total: +101/+10 Over
Tuesday, Milwaukee right-hander Chase Anderson (5-2, 3.73 ERA) is scheduled to start against Pittsburgh left-hander Steven Brault (3-1, 4.15) in a tilt I have pegged to go over the set total.Brault has been on the injured list since July 6 because of a left shoulder strain but is expected to be activated for the start with rust being the main concern that could easily see him get roughed up which will result in Milwaukee scoring a projected 1.5 runs more than expected by the linesmakers according to my estimates. These teams have gone over in 7 of the L/8 meetings here in Pittsburgh and Im betting on nothing changing tonight.
MILWAUKEE is 20-7 OVER in road games vs. NL teams allowing 5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.5 rpg scored. COUNSELL is 26-12 OVER as a road favorite of -125 or more as the manager of MILWAUKEE with a combined average of 12.3 rpg scored.
PITTSBURGH is 16-5 OVER in home games against division opponents this season with a combined average of 11.9 rpg scored.PITTSBURGH is 25-6 OVER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season with a combined average of 12.9 rpg going on the score board.
HURDLE is 15-4 OVER in home games after allowing 9 runs or more 2 straight games in all games he has managed with a combined average of 13.1 rpg scored.
Pittsburgh has gone over in 7 of their L/8 games and in their L/7 games an average of 13.1 rpg have scored.