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NY Yankees vs. Baltimore,
08/07/2019 19:05 EDT,
Score: 14 - 2
Total: -103/+9½ Under
10* Under Yankees/Orioles (7:05 ET): Predictably, the Yankees have come to Baltimore and taken the first two games of this three-game series. They've scored nine runs in both games and now won seven in a row overall. Baltimore is having a truly miserable season as they are 38-75 w/ a -198 run differential. They're just 17-40 at home where they give up a horrifying 6.7 runs per game. No team has allowed more runs to be scored on them this season. But the O's best pitcher, John Means, returns tonight and that should keep the Yankees' scoring down. Take the Under.
Means was roughed up on 7.13 by Tampa Bay, giving up six runs in his first start after the All-Star Break. But other than that, he's been outstanding in 2019. That's the only start since the start of May where Means allowed more than three runs. He has a 2.67 ERA and 1.019 WHIP in 10 home starts, so he's been the exception to the "rule" when it comes to the number of runs the Orioles have allowed here at Camden Yards this season. He has spent the last two weeks on the DL w/ a bicep injury, but should be fine tonight. He has a 1.59 ERA in three previous appearances vs. NY.
The Yankees have hit 11 HR's in the first two games of this series, but Means usually does a good job at limiting the long ball. As for Baltimore scoring runs, don't expect many. James Paxton is probably considered a disappointment by Yankees' fans, but he just delivered a quality start against Boston last weekend, allowing two runs on six hits. The Red Sox are the third highest scoring team in baseball. Paxton is 3-1 w/ a 3.86 ERA in three previous starts vs. the Orioles, which includes his first two starts of 2019. 10* Under Yankees/Orioles