New York vs. Chicago, 08/07/2019 20:00 EDT, Score: 92 - 101

Total: -110/+165 Under

Sportsbook: SportsBetting

Result: Loss

My projections estimate that this contest will remain on the low side of the total.

Recency bias also suggest this total is skewed to the upside thus giving us value with a under wager.

CHICAGO is 7-0 UNDER in home games after scoring 75 points or more this season. CHICAGO is 6-0 UNDER in home games after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. CHICAGO is 8-2 UNDER in home games this season. (all of the above combined scores were all under this set total)

NEW YORK is 13-4 UNDER in road games after trailing their last 2 games by 10+ points with a combined average of 139.1 ppg scored.

WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (CHICAGO) - excellent free throw shooting team (80% or better) against a good free throw shooting team (76-80%), hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 42% or better of their shots are 34-10 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.


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