Colorado vs. San Diego,
08/10/2019 20:40 EDT,
Score: 5 - 8
Point Spread: -1½/+105 San Diego
*3 Star Play on Padres -1.5* The Colorado Rockies have been terrible in recent weeks. The Rockies have the single worst weighted on base average on the road of any team in the majors. Their bullpen has the worst ERA in the majors in the past 30 days, and it isn't even close (7.16 ERA).
Chi Chi Gonzalez starts for the Rockies here, and he is one of the worst starting pitchers in the majors. Gonzalez had a 6.10 ERA and a 5.76 FIP in Triple A this year. In the majors, he has a 5.95 ERA and a 7.18 FIP this season. In Gonzalez's last 8 starts in the majors, he has more walks than strikeouts. That gets you into big trouble more often than not.
Chris Paddack is coming off a rare poor start, but he has been very good this year. Paddack has a great track record at home as well. Paddack has a ridiculously good 0.739 WHIP at home.
The Padres bullpen ranks first in the majors in SIERA for the season and first in FIP in the last 30 days. San Diego has a huge bullpen advantage.
In the Rockies last 17 road games- if you took their opponent -1.5 you would have went 12-5. They face a very good young pitcher here and we are getting a plus money price on the run line.
Take San Diego -1.5.