Stephen Nover's MLB Game of the Week
Minnesota vs. Detroit,
08/31/2019 18:10 EDT,
Score: 7 - 10
Money Line: -135 Minnesota
The Tigers are home. That's great news for the Twins since Detroit is 17-47 at home. The Twins are one of the better teams in baseball. They could break the single-season record for home runs during this series. That's how powerful they are. At this low road price, the Twins are a bargain versus this opponent.
The pitching matchup is Martin Perez versus Matt Boyd. These two just faced each other six days ago in Minnesota. The Twins got to Boyd for seven earned runs in six innings, while Perez held the Tigers to two earned runs in six innings.
Boyd still is getting some respect from the oddsmaker. He's perceived as Detroit's top pitcher. This isn't saying much. Boyd also hasn't been respectable like he was earlier in the season. He's allowed 19 earned runs in his last four starts spanning 21 innings. Boyd's ERA during his last 13 starts is a fat 6.05. He's also given up an average of 2.6 homers per nine innings in those last 13 outings. The Twins' power hitters should feast on him.
Perez, by contrast, has allowed just four earned in his last three starts spanning 17 innings. The Twins' bullpen has been very good this month.
Detroit has lost six in a row, averaging 2.8 runs per game during this losing streak.
The Twins have won six straight. They are averaging 8.6 runs a game during their win streak.
So, yeah, at this bargain price the Twins are worth laying road chalk.