*10* NCAAF TOTAL OF THE WEEK (Power Sports) ~ INCREDIBLE 71-41 RUN L32 DAYS!
Notre Dame vs. Louisville,
09/02/2019 20:00 EDT,
Score: 35 - 17
Total: -110/+54½ Over
10* Over Notre Dame/Louisville (8:00 ET): This number has been bet way down, opening up an opportunity to bet the game Over. Louisville is coming off an absolutely disastrous 2018 campaign that led to Bobby Petrino being run out of town (again!) But as bad as last year was, I think Scott Sattefield is walking into a fairly ideal situation here as the Cardinals can only improve in 2019. Aiding in that improvement is the fact there are 16 returning starters, including 10 on the defensive side of the ball. But make no mistake about it, this defense has a LONG way to go after giving up a ghastly 44.1 PPG a year ago.
While Louisville fell into the abyss, Notre Dame made it all the way to the College Football Playoff. They were of course embarrassed by Clemson, losing 30-3 as 12-pt underdogs. That line and subsequent result raised questions about whether or not the Irish were deserving of the spot in the playoffs, but if this school goes unbeaten in the regular season, they're always going to get in. I don't think this is anything close to a playoff team in 2019 and in fact expect some fairly serious regression in South Bend. They were a perfect 4-0 SU in games decided by 7 pts or less last year and that isn't likely to repeat itself.
Notre Dame's defense was really good last year, giving up just 18.2 PPG. That was their lowest number under HC Brian Kelly since the team that reached the Nat'l Champ Game in 2012 (and also got embarrassed). But they lost three players to the NFL Draft on that side of the ball as well as three of their top five tacklers. Louisville isn't going to be as inept offensively as they were last year, but the defense will continue to struggle early on, despite all those returning starters. Both teams return LY's starter at QB, so it'll be the offenses that are ahead of the defenses in this one. Louisville closed last season on a 7-1 Over run. 10* Over Notre Dame/Louisville