Baltimore vs. Kansas City,
09/01/2019 14:15 EDT,
Score: 4 - 6
Money Line: -123 Kansas City
Southpaw KC hurler Danny Duffy (5-6, 4.93 ERA, 90 SO)Duffy is expected to be activated on Sunday. He last pitched last Sunday on a rehab assignment with Double-A Northwest Arkansas and gave up one run over five innings. He likely will have a 90-pitch limit. My own projections tells me he matches up well vs this very inconsistent Os batting order and gets my support here today. Duffy won his last start against the Orioles, 15-7, on May 8, 2018 in Baltimore. He's 3-2 with a 2.17 ERA lifetime vs. Baltimore, his lowest ERA vs. any opponent (minimum three starts) in his career. These teams split the first to game of this series.. However it must be noted that the Orioles are 1-12 on the ML L/13 away when it is the last game of a three game series and they split the first two games. DUFFY is 43-22 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 since 1997. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 4-21 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with an slugging percentage .410 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. BALTIMORE is 6-23 against the money line in road games against AL Central opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (KANSAS CITY) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or more ), starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing are 54-18 L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on the KC Royals to win on the ML