Houston vs. Milwaukee,
09/02/2019 16:10 EDT,
Score: 3 - 2
Total: -114/+8½ Under
*3 Star Play Under* The Houston Astros start Gerrit Cole here. Justin Verlander just threw a no hitter yesterday, so the Astros bullpen is clearly well rested.
Cole's season long numbers are absolutely amazing. He has better advanced metrics than does Verlander. While I'm not saying he actually is better than Verlander, the two of them are far closer than many would believe. Cole has a great 2.85 ERA on the year, but in his last 14 starts he has a 1.94 ERA. Cole has a ridiculous 36 strikeouts and only 2 walks in his last three starts.
Adrian Houser has been getting a lot of soft contact of late, and this is a guy who I was too low on for quite a while. This is a very tough Astros lineup, but Houser has allowed just 1 earned run in each of his last four starts. He has a tremendous .276 wOBA allowed at home this year.
The under has been the way to look long term in the interleague contests, and the Astros lose a hitter here for this one. In addition, Correa is injured and Gurriel is questionable with an elbow contusion.
Take the under.