Houston vs. Milwaukee, 09/03/2019 19:40 EDT, Score: 2 - 4

Money Line: -155 Houston

Sportsbook: Betonline

Result: Loss

8* Houston (7:40 ET): I've been waiting for awhile to see Milwaukee's playoff hopes get "put to rest" and this might finally be the series where that happens. They Brew Crew are matched up w/ Houston, who has come a long way since these teams were division rivals. The Astros are, for my money, the best team in the American League (even though they have the same record as the Yankees). They beat the Brewers last night here at Miller Park, 3-2 in 11 innings, which was their ninth win in the L11 games. They'll send Zack Greinke to the mound tonight, giving them an obvious advantage there.

Greinke hasn't exactly been dominant since coming over from Arizona, but the Astros have won four of his five starts for them. The loss came his last time out, against Tampa Bay, the second time Greinke allowed five runs while wearing an Astros' uniform. But the "catch" is both of those starts came at home. He's actually been a better pitcher on the road this season, which may not be in line w/ his career numbers, but we'll take it anyway. In 15 road starts, Greinke has a 2.74 ERA and 0.957 WHIP. He's 8-3 in those 15 starts and while his TSR is a misleading 8-7 in those games, all four no-decisions that were losses came when he was still w/ Arizona.

Milwaukee counters w/ Jordan Lyles, who was also a trade deadline acquisition, albeit a far more questionable one from the Pirates. Lyles has pitched significantly better for the Brewers (his TSR is 5-1), but he'll be "up against it" today facing an Astros lineup that has averaged 7.25 runs over its L8 games. It's been a low-scoring last couple of days for the 'Stros, not that they've needed much scoring considering how Justin Verlander (no-hitter) and Gerrit Cole pitched. Greinke has a 16-4 record all-time at Miller Park from his time w/ the Brewers and should be the latest example of how the Astros have the best rotation in baseball heading into the postseason. 8* Houston

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