Stephen Nover's NFL Underdog Special - 30-8-3 Run!

Stephen Nover's NFL Underdog Special - 30-8-3 Run!

Kansas City vs. Jacksonville, 09/08/2019 13:00 EDT, Score: 40 - 26

Point Spread: +4/-105 Jacksonville

Sportsbook: Bodog

Result: Loss

The Jaguars should be closer to their AFC South Division-winning form of two seasons ago than last year's 5-11 disaster with Nick Foles taking over at quarterback from Blake Bortles.

Jacksonville retains much of its elite defense that gave up the fifth-fewest points and yards last season.

The Chiefs are breaking in a new defensive scheme. Their defense surrendered the second-most yards last season and is without a number of key performers, including pass rushers Justin Houston, Dee Ford and safety Eric Berry. I don't see the Chiefs' defense being any better, probably even worse, than 2018 especially early in the season.

The Jaguars have revenge for a 30-14 road loss to the Chiefs last season. Jacksonville's defense played well against Patrick Mahomes, but were done in by Bortles' four interceptions, including a pick-six.

The Jaguars were missing their star running back, Leonard Fournett, in that game. Foles represents a huge improvement on turnover-prone Bortles.

The weather is likely to be extremely hot this time of year in Jacksonville, which would add to the Jaguars' home field advantage.

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