Detroit vs. Kansas City, 09/04/2019 20:15 EDT, Score: 4 - 5

Money Line: -205 Kansas City

Sportsbook: Betonline

Result: Win

6* Kansas City (8:15 ET): If you're shocked by how much juice you have to lay to play the Royals tonight, don't be. Obviously, it has to be a weak opponent and really they come no weaker than the Tigers, who are on pace to get outscored by 300 runs this year! To put that number in proper perspective, consider that even LY's historically bad Orioles team (47 wins) was outscored by "only" 270 runs. The Tigers surpassed that number (now -271 in run differential) w/ last night's 6-5 loss here at Kauffman Stadium. They have the dubious distinction of also having the worst record in all of MLB (40-96) as there's a good chance they finish WORSE than the Orioles of 2018. Definitely take Kansas City here.

Believe it or not, but the Royals "should" have a better record. Their run differential, while poor (-149) is roughly the same as the 61-77 White Sox. Thus, the fact the Royals have just 50 wins is a tad bit misleading. Obviously, one has underachieved while the other has overachieved, but both the White Sox and Royals have played to the level of a 54-win team. This will be the 1st time all season that KC is higher than -175 on the money line. They are 3-1 in that role the previous two seasons.

Detroit has lost 9 of 10 and will send Edwin Jackson to the mound tonight. He is not a good bet to "stop the bleeding." Jackson has terrible numbers this year as his ERA is 9.35 and his WHIP is 1.962. Things have only gotten worse for him recently w/ a 11.68 ERA and 2.433 WHIP his L3 starts. In B2B starts vs. the Twins, he allowed 14 runs in 7 1/3 IP. Last night's walk-off victory was KC's 3rd in a row as they've taken advantage of hosting the two worst teams in baseball (Baltimore, Detroit). They send Jakob Junis to the bump on Wednesday and Junis has had plenty of success in the past against the Tigers w/ a 7-1 record, 3.18 ERA and 59 strikeouts in 10 starts. That's his most wins and strikeouts against any opponent. KC rolls here. 6* Kansas City

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