Minnesota vs. Boston,
09/05/2019 19:10 EDT,
Score: 2 - 1
Money Line: +133 Minnesota
Twins starter Martin Perez (9-6, 4.89 ERA, 120 SO)had a off game last time out as he was shelled by the Tigers for eight runs in 2 2/3 innings on Saturday and felt that his cutter was moving too much, which he hoped to address in bullpen work between starts. He had allowed four runs in 11 frames over his previous two outings and is more than capable of bouncing back here tonight vs the Red Sox. Meanwhile,Nathan Eovaldi (1-0, 6.23 ERA, 46 SO)is not yet fully stretched out since returning to the rotation, and could easily end up as cannon fodder vs a explosive Minnesota batting order averaging 6.3 rpg on the road this season.
The linesmakers are expecting a high scoring game but it must be noted that the Twins excel in these situations. MINNESOTA is 16-3 against the money line on the road when the total is 10 or higher this season.
BALDELLI is 41-18 against the money line in road games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game as the manager of MINNESOTA.
MLB Road teams (MINNESOTA) - with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games, in September games are 89-45 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on the Minnesota Twins to win on the ML