Toronto vs. Tampa Bay,
09/05/2019 19:10 EDT,
Score: 4 - 6
Total: -110/+9 Over
Todays starters TBs Pruitt is 2-0 with a 4.29 ERA in eight career appearances (one start) against the Blue Jays. Thornton the Jays starter is 0-1 with an 11.12 ERA in three starts against the Rays and Im betting both get lit up tonight according to my offence vs pitching projections.
THORNTON is 11-3 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.8 rpg scored. TORONTO is 10-2 OVER in road games after batting .200 or worse over a 5 game span this season with a combined average of 11.6 rpg scored.
The Blue Jays are 13-0 OVER L/13 in the first game of a series with rest as a road dog off a road game in which they had fewer team-left-on-base than their opponent.
MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (TB/TORONTO) - after 3 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base, with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games are 47-19 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.