UTSA vs. Baylor,
09/07/2019 16:00 EDT,
Score: 14 - 63
Total: -110/+57½ Over
*3 Star Play Over* Baylor ranked 125th in red zone offense last year. They had some very untimely turnovers in the red zone last year, and I would expect much better from them with another year in this system and a veteran quarterback in Charlie Brewer. Brewer has improved weapons around him, and this offensive line is definitely better than a year ago.
UTSA has nowhere to go but up compared to last year on offense. They still won't be good on offense, but they will be improved. They have a new offensive coordinator who has helped them have a better scheme.
Baylor's offense is way too good for this UTSA defense. The UTSA secondary is a major weakness, and I would expect Baylor to have a lot of guys running wide open in this one. The Bears have picked up their tempo a bit as well.
The extreme heat (100 degrees) is helpful for an over as well. There are multiple strong angles regarding taking the over in a hot game.
Look for Baylor to put up a big number here and UTSA to do enough to get this past the posted total.
Take the over.