Atlanta vs. Philadelphia, 09/10/2019 19:05 EDT, Score: 5 - 6

Point Spread: +1½/-115 Philadelphia

Sportsbook: TopBet

Result: Win

I'm playing PHILADELPHIA on the run-line (+1.5 runs) Atlanta won big yesterday but I expect a much closer game today. With the Braves favored on the money-line, we're able to get an extra +1.5 runs with the Phillies for a very reasonable price. Though I like the Phillies chances of winning outright, I also feel that the extra +1.5 runs could well come in handy, as I'm not expecting another Braves' blowout. Vargas allowed just two runs last time out, striking out six without walking a batter. However, the Phillies lost 4-3. On the season, he's got a respectable 3.21 ERA at "home." On the other hand, Fried has a poor 4.91 ERA on the road. In his last road start, he gave up five earned runs in five innings. Fried faced the Phils twice this season and he gave up four combined home runs and 10 runs (9 earned) in 10 combined innings. Expect AT LEAST a "run-line cover" for the home team.

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