Milwaukee vs. Miami,
09/11/2019 19:10 EDT,
Score: 7 - 5
Total: -120/+9 Under
*3 Star Play Under* The Milwaukee Brewers lost their superstar Christian Yelich to a fractured kneecap on Tuesday night. Yelich was having an amazing season, and as a fan I absolutely hated seeing him go down.
Ben Gamel and Hernan Perez are expected to get a lot of time in the outfield in place of Christian Yelich. I don't have to tell you that it is a big downgrade from Yelich to either of those guys. The Brewers offense only ranks 23rd in the majors in weighted on base average in the last 30 days even with Yelich in the lineup. Manny Pina is out of the lineup as well.
The Miami Marlins have had the worst offense in baseball this year. In 8 of their last 11 home games they have scored 3 runs or less. Zach Davies doesn't rack up strikeouts, but he does induce soft contact and he should be able to navigate through this weak offense.
Pablo Lopez is a high upside pitcher who has been tremendous at home this year. Lopez has a 0.93 WHIP at home this season. He is coming off an excellent start in his last outing.
A total this high with a game involving the Marlins is fairly rare, and with the Brewers shorthanded on offense I'll side with the under.
Take the under.