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Kansas City vs. Chi White Sox, 09/11/2019 20:10 EDT, Score: 8 - 6

Total: -115/+10½ Under

Sportsbook: TopBet

Result: Loss

8* Under Royals/White Sox (8:10 ET): These are two of the lowest scoring teams in baseball w/ the Royals ranking 28th in runs scored and the White Sox 27th. Last night's game was a 7-3 win for Chicago as they gained a measure of revenge for what happened the last time these AL Central rivals met, that being a Royals sweep at Kauffman Stadium in July. We don't see the White Sox scoring as many runs tonight as they're actually one of MLB's most overrated teams going by run differential. Having been outscored by 135 runs, you'd expect just 58 wins, not the 64 they actually have. This should be a low-scoring game. Take the Under.

Even though they have more wins than they should, it's not been a good season for the White Sox collectively or for tonight's starter Reynaldo Lopez individually. That said, Lopez is off his best start of the year. He went the distance vs. Cleveland, allowing just one run on one hit and had 11 strikeouts. That was in stark contrast to the disastrous outing he had in Atlanta on August 31st. The last time Lopez pitched here at Guaranteed Rate Field, he got the job done w/ five shutout innings. He's been wildly inconsistent overall, but is actually working on an 11+ inning scoreless streak at home entering tonight. His last four home starts have all seen him allow 2 ER or fewer. It's a weak lineup he'll be facing here tonight and the last two times Lopez has faced the Royals, he's allowed only two runs in 12 IP.

I should point out that the difference in last night's game was a grand slam from the White Sox Eloy Jiminez. Take that away and you have a 3-3 game. Like his counterpart Lopez, Glenn Sparkman (tonight's starter for KC) has been inconsistent. But he did throw his own CG at their expense back on July 16th. It was a five-hit shutout. Sparkman also held the White Sox to just three runs (one unearned) in 6 2/3 IP back in June. Chicago only averages 3.9 rpg vs. right-handed starters, so this is tailor-made for a low-scoring situation. 8* Under Royals/White Sox

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