Tampa Bay vs. Texas,
09/12/2019 20:05 EDT,
Score: 4 - 6
Total: -104/+10½ Under
*4 Star Play Under* Kolby Allard has been very good for the Texas Rangers. Allard is a young lefty who was one of the better pitching prospects in the Rangers organization. After some poor starts earlier this year, Allard has allowed a combined 3 runs in his last three starts. Allard is doing a great job inducing soft contact. Of the 103 batted balls against Allard, only two have been barreled.
Brendon McKay entered this year as a top 20 prospect in all of baseball. McKay has been up and down this year, but he is coming of a good start. He's also against a shorthanded Texas lineup here.
Both of these offenses have been shaky of late, and both of them are much weaker against left handed pitching than right handed pitching. Texas ranks 25th in the majors in wOBA against lefties. Tampa Bay isn't much better at #20.
This is clearly a hitters ballpark, but we have two good lefties and a high total. The Rangers bullpen has been league average in the past month. The Rays bullpen has been top 10 in the majors all year.
The under is 7-2 in the Rangers last 9 games vs. a lefty.
Take the under.