St. Louis vs. Atlanta,
10/03/2019 17:02 EDT,
Score: 7 - 6
Total: -105/+9 Over
NLDS - Best of 5 - Game 1
Cardinals RH Miles Mikolas (9-14, 4.16 ERA) vs. Braves LH Dallas Keuchel (8-8, 3.75)
Cards starter Mikolas, is 4-8 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 17 road starts. Im betting he has his hands full with the Braves offence that leads the NL in runs scored, and is fourth in batting average and homers. MIKOLAS is 13-4 OVER on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.1 rpg scored.
Meanwhile, his Braves pitching opponent lefty Dallas Keuchel enters post season play having allowed 11 earned runs in 16 innings across his final three regular-season outings and his current form looks vulnerable. The Cards have done their best work against LHP this season averaging 5.6 rpg and Im betting they do some damage here again vs a southpaw hurler.
Both sides have average bullpens with home /away splits in the 4.00 ERA range.
ST LOUIS is 15-4 OVER in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.2 rpg scored.
ATLANTA is 13-3 OVER in home games after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more this season with a combined average of 12.5 rpg scored.