**31-13 RUN!** FRIDAY AFTERNOON RL VIOLATOR! (10-2 L12!)
St. Louis vs. Atlanta,
10/04/2019 16:37 EDT,
Score: 0 - 3
Point Spread: +1½/-148 Atlanta
I'm playing Atlanta on the run-line (+1.5 runs) Off a tough loss yesterday, the Braves are going to be desperate in this one. This is a very talented and determined team and I expect them to bounce back with their best effort. While I do expect them to win outright, we already saw a 1-run game yesterday. In this type of series, the value of an extra +1.5 runs can't be overstated. Yes, Flaherty has been on a major roll - I won with the Cards (-1.5) the last time that he pitched. He hasn't been that dominant here at Atlanta though. His lone 2019 start here saw him allow three runs in six innings. A quality start but not outstanding. Note that he walked five in that game. Also, in his previous start here (09/18) he gave up five runs in 4 2/3 innings. Don't let his season stats fool you, Foltynewicz has been extremely stingy for some time now, as he's quietly gone 6-1 with a 2.65 ERA his last 10 starts. In his last home start, he tossed eight shutout innings. Last time he faced the Cards, he allowed a single unearned run through six complete, winning 5-2. Expect AT LEAST a "run-line cover" from the desperate Braves.