New England vs. Baltimore,
11/03/2019 20:20 EDT,
Score: 20 - 37
Point Spread: +4/-115 Baltimore
The undefeated New England Patriots actually look vulnerable here according to my power rankings, and matchup algorithms vs rested Baltimore side off a bye week . It must be noted that the Baltimore Ravens rush offence puts up an average of 5.5 YPR, while the Patriots allow 4.6 Yards Per Rush on defense. So what Im expecting tonight is for the hosts to pound the ball down the throat of the Pats and to do extensive damage with this formula, and to come out of this tilt with a cover.
New England is just 2-9 ATS L/11 vs rested .500 or better non division opposition .
BALTIMORE is 32-17 ATS against AFC East division opponents since 1992.
NFL Road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (NEW ENGLAND) - quick starting offensive team - scoring 14+ PPG in the first half, after allowing 14 points or less last game are 9-29 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors.
NFL Road favorites (NEW ENGLAND) - dominant team - outscoring opponents by 10 or more points/game, after a win by 10 or more points are 18-50 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors.
NFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (NEW ENGLAND) - excellent offensive team - scoring 27 or more points/game, after allowing 14 points or less in 2 straight games are 7-25 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on the Baltimore Ravens to cover