Tampa Bay vs. Seattle,
11/03/2019 16:05 EDT,
Score: 34 - 40
Point Spread: +5½/-110 Tampa Bay
*4 Star Play on Tampa Bay* The Tampa Bay Bucs are 2-5 this year, but the Bucs are +0.22 ypp margin which is 12th in the NFL so far this year. That's impressive when you consider the schedule Tampa Bay has played thus far. Tampa Bay has played the 5th toughest schedule in the NFL. The Bucs have road wins at Carolina and against the LA Rams. They absolutely should have won last week at Tennessee as well.
Tampa Bay is far better than their record would indicate. Seattle is always far worse than their record would indicate. The Seahawks are 6-2, but they have played the 25th toughest schedule in the NFL so far this year. Seattle has a -0.26 ypp margin on the year (23rd) even against that very weak schedule. The Seahawks are getting too much respect at home right now. They beat the Bengals by a point at home. They were fortunate to beat the Rams by a point at home. They also were beaten handily by the Ravens at home.
The Tampa Bay run defense ranks 1st in the NFL. Seattle runs at the 4th highest percentage of any team in the NFL.
Seattle's defense isn't good anymore, and I think the Bucs star receivers have big advantages against this Seattle secondary.
Grab the points.
Take Tampa Bay.