Joe D'Amico's NCAAF 53-19-1 TOUCHDOWN PLAY
Texas State vs. Louisiana-Lafayette,
11/02/2019 17:00 EDT,
Score: 3 - 31
Point Spread: -22½/-113 Louisiana-Lafayette
This is my TD play.
2:00 pm pst.
At 5-2 SU (6-1 ATS), UL Lafayette is looking to take a stronghold of the Sun Belt West. Playing Texas State (2-5 SU, 1-5-1 ATS) will allow the Ragin' Cajuns to do just that. They have won and covered the last six meetings with the Bobcats. Even to my surprise, ULL has the No. 3 ranked rushing unit in college football (286.9 yards per game on the ground). Wanna' talk mismatch? The Texas State defense ranks 118th vs. the rush. The Bobcats only score 18.1 PPG and come into this contest with some key players banged up on offense. Outside of a season opening loss and cover to Mississippi State, Lafayette has held all opponents to 25 or less points. The backfield trio of ball-carriers, Ragas, Mitchell, and Calais (1,641 yards rushing, 22 TD's combined) will flatten the Texas State "D" like a pancake. The Ragin' Cajuns are 4-0 ATS the last four vs. losers, 4-1 ATS the last five vs. conference foes, and 6-1 ATS the last seven overall. Take ULL. Thank you.