Tampa Bay vs. Seattle, 11/03/2019 16:05 EDT, Score: 34 - 40

Point Spread: +5/-102 Tampa Bay

Sportsbook: PinnacleSports

Result: Loss

10* Tampa Bay (4:05 ET): Sometimes it can be a "thin line" between being 2-5 and 6-2 in this league. Take these teams, for example. The 2-5 Bucs seem to specialize in "throwing games away" whether it be turning the ball over SEVEN times (like they did in London vs Carolina) or blowing 18-point leads (like they did vs the Giants). Last week was another close loss, 27-24 in Tennessee. As for 6-2 Seattle, they have five wins by seven points or less, including four by four or less. They have outscored opponents by only 12 points all year and the schedule is about to get a whole lot tougher. Believe it or not, the Seahawks are 0-4 ATS as home favorites this year. Take the points.

Last week was microcosm of the season for these two teams. Tampa Bay outgained Tennessee 389-246, only to commit four more turnovers and lose. There was also an apparent fumble return for TD negated by an inadvertent whistle that would have won the game for the Bucs. It was Tampa's third loss this season by seven points or less. While that was going on, Seattle held on for a 27-20 win at Atlanta. While the Seahawks did lead 24-0 at halftime, they were eventually outgained 510-322, only to benefit from a +3 turnover margin. Such has been the respective 2019's for these two teams.

But this is where Tampa Bay's luck changes. Maybe it will be just temporarily, but they are definitely "due." The Bucs have outgained their opponents both on a per play and per game basis. They've only been outscored by 16 pts all year. Seattle's defense is giving up 6.4 yards play, which is more than what the Bucs allow. The Bucs' defense is actually #1 in the league against the run! Meanwhile, The Legion of Boom is long gone in Seattle and last week the Seahawks gave up 400+ yards passing to Atlanta (w/ Matt Schaub). Tampa Bay's offense has big play capability w/ two excellent receivers. Seattle's offensive line is in flux now w/ a new starting center. In each case here, the team's WL record is a little bit misleading. 10* Tampa Bay

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