*10* NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK (Power Sports) ~ 5-0 w/ Totals Last Weekend!

*10* NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK (Power Sports) ~ 5-0 w/ Totals Last Weekend!

Cleveland vs. Denver, 11/03/2019 16:25 EDT, Score: 19 - 24

Total: -110/+39 Over

Sportsbook: Bodog

Result: Win

10* Over Browns/Broncos (4:25 ET): We're long ways from the 1987 & '88 AFC Championship Games that these teams faced off in. In 2019, both are struggling to remain relevant, even in a weaker than usual AFC. For Cleveland, this is terribly disappointing as they had high expectations (believe it or not) coming into the season. Those expectations seem foolish in retrospect, but they were there. As for Denver, not a ton was expected in Vic Fangio's 1st year, but I thought they'd improve on LY's 6-10 SU record. At 2-6 right now, that doesn't seem very likely. Brandon Allen will make his first NFL start at QB this week, replacing the injured Joe Flacco. Not like the offense was doing much w/ Flacco in there though, so I would be careful about calling this a downgrade.

Calling for an Over here might seem like I'm being a contrarian. After all, Denver's last four games have all stayed Under. So have 19 of their last 24 games. Replacing Tim Tebow was easy (Peyton Manning!) for John Elway, but Elway hasn't come close to finding anything close to a successor for Manning. Flacco wasn't the answer and Allen probably won't be either. But an Over would seem to be in the works sooner rather than later as this stretch of low-scoring games can't be sustained. By the way, the Broncos have lost THREE games in the final minute this year, so their record could be a whole lot better right now. Cleveland's defense has allowed 20+ points in all but one game this season.

I also think this is where the struggling Browns' offense gets on track. Last week they were nearly identical to the Patriots in total yards, running a fewer amount of plays. Three turnovers, all on successive possessions, killed them. That was after blowing a lead at home to Seattle the previous week. While the 2-5 SU record is disappointing in Cleveland right now, the Browns have faced a pretty tough schedule. The rest of the way things get progressively easier as they'll be favored in at least the next four games. Cleveland's offense is gaining 6.2 yards per play this season and RB Nick Chubb has had one 37+ yard rush in four straight games. Denver's defense has played admirably, but that may not last as they are set to face some better offenses (including this one) in what is a lost season. 10* Over Browns/Broncos

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