2nd of 3 in NFL 3-pack

2nd of 3 in NFL 3-pack

Green Bay vs. LA Chargers, 11/03/2019 16:25 EDT, Score: 11 - 26

Point Spread: +4½/-115 LA Chargers

Sportsbook: Bodog

Result: Win

Rickenbach NFL Rotation #472 Sunday 8* Los Angeles Chargers (+) vs Green Bay Packers @ 4:25 ET - The Packers are a fantastic 7-1 SU on the season but if you take a look at their last 6 games it tells you why they are a bit over-valued here. Green Bay's wins included victories over Denver, Detroit, and Oakland. None of those teams have a winning record. The Packers lost to the Eagles and then, though they beat the Cowboys, Green Bay was heavily out-statted at Dallas. As for their most recent game GB took advantage of KC being without star QB Patrick Mahomes. Even facing the Chiefs without their star, the Packers still barely won that game. Now the Pack face a Chargers team that has a knack for playing tight games and yet GB is as high as a 4.5 point favorite in this one. I won't hesitate to grab the home dog here as LA also has momentum courtesy of finally getting a much-needed late game victory at Chicago last week. The Chargers lose so many tight games that this was a big confidence-booster for them and totally changes the morale of locker room heading into this match-up with a 7-1 Green Bay team. The strength of the Los Angeles defense is defending the pass and the Packers rely heavily on QB Rodgers and the passing attack. That said, the edge goes to LA here and that is particularly true because the Chargers edge is also the passing attack and they're now going against a defense that ranks in the bottom fourth of the NFL. Make no mistake about it, considering the Packers defensive production this season, they are very fortunate to be 7-1 at this point and that is why I am expecting an upset loss for GB here but I am grabbing the added insurance of having the points here in case LA loses on a late field goal as they so often seem to do. 8* LOS ANGELES CHARGERS

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