Temple vs. USF, 11/07/2019 20:00 EDT, Score: 17 - 7

Point Spread: +1½/-107 USF

Sportsbook: Bookmaker

Result: Loss

10* South Florida (8:00 ET): The home team has won all five meetings between these schools and there has been a history of upsets. The first three meetings saw an outright win by the home dog every time. The last two years, the home team entered favored. Last year it was USF going to Philly on a season-worst three-game losing streak and losing 27-17. But they covered as a 13-point dog thanks to taking a 17-0 lead going into halftime. The last time Temple came to Tampa is the ONLY time in the history of the series where the favorite covered. USF won 43-7 w/ a 408-85 edge in total yards. I bring all this up because Temple remains a shaky road team in 2019. While it probably won't get as ugly as it did two years ago here (also a Thurs night game!), take the Bulls.

Temple has pulled a few notable upsets this season. The Owls (+5.5) beating Maryland 20-17 back in Week 3 seemed impressive at the time, but the Terrapins have gone from chic to lousy. The Owls did beat Memphis 30-28 as 4-pt home dogs, but that was thanks to four Tigers' turnovers more than anything else. Temple was outgained in that game. Since then, they've been exposed w/ ugly losses to SMU (45-21) and UCF (63-21) w/ the defense giving up 600+ yards in both games. Temple's lone road win of the season came against East Carolina, by a score of 27-17, but they did not cover as 12-pt chalk. They are now 0-3 ATS in all road games.

USF has taken some lumps this year, but has battled back to win four of its last six overall. They had won five straight coming off a regular season bye before running into SMU earlier in this season. The Bulls will get a chance to play spoiler down the stretch w/ remaining games against Cincinnati, Memphis and UCF. Including this one, they'll have to win twice to become bowl eligible. USF has actually performed slightly better than Temple has on a per play basis this season and the Owls' shaky play on the road is cause for concern. The Owls have just ONE win this season by more than 3 pts against a FBS opponent. USF's defense is #1 in the AAC against the pass and they have forced the 2nd most turnovers in the COUNTRY. Temple has the 2nd most TO's in the conference this year. 10* South Florida

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