*10* SUPER POWER ~ Had OUTRIGHT Upset w/ Grizzlies L/Night!
Oklahoma City vs. San Antonio,
11/07/2019 20:30 EDT,
Score: 112 - 121
Point Spread: +5/-115 Oklahoma City
10* Oklahoma City (8:35 ET): San Antonio is just 1-6 against the spread, which is the worst mark in the league. What makes that ATS record so interesting is that the team is also 4-3 SU. The Spurs were exactly expected to be world-beaters this season, yet have been favored in almost every game. They've lost the last two, however, including 108-100 at Atlanta Tuesday where they were a six-point road favorite. The only game the Spurs covered so far was against Golden State, who is a mess right now. Even coming off an upset loss, I just don't want any part of this Spurs team right now, especially laying points. Take the dog in this Western Conference matchup. The Thunder are only 3-4 SU, but have a better scoring differential than the Spurs. They are coming off consecutive victories at home, over New Orleans and Orlando, where they did a solid job defensively. They currently rank third in the league in defensive efficiency, trailing only Utah and the Lakers. Long-time followers know how much I value the defensive efficiency metric. So even though little is expected from OKC this year, my view is they are an undervalued team right now. Three of their four losses have been by five points or less. They've allowed only one opponent to score more than 104 pts so far and that was Houston, who leads the Western Conference in PPG. The Thunder have lost the last four times they've ventured into San Antonio, also going 0-4 ATS. That seems a little strange as the teams have generally been pretty competitive the last couple years. Obviously, there's been a mass exodus of talent in OKC, but the same can be said for San Antonio. The Spurs have shot poorly the L2 games (not surprising since they lost both) and don't look for them to turn it around here as the Thunder lead the league in opposing FG% (40.3) and 3-point % (27.3). San Antonio's defense has slipped this year as they've yet to hold an opponent below 100 points. 10* Oklahoma City.