Wyoming vs. Boise State, 11/09/2019 22:15 EDT, Score: 17 - 20

Point Spread: -13/-110 Boise State

Sportsbook: TopBet

Result: Loss

8* Boise State (10:15 ET): Boise State is no stranger to occupying this space. The Broncos were last involved in a LAST CHANCE POWER-DRIVE selection when I faded them three weeks ago at BYU. They lost that game outright, as 7-point favorites, 28-25. It's their only SU loss this season. This week, I'll be taking the Broncos and it has a lot to do with whom they are facing. Wyoming has been a previous target due to the fact they've been winning games while consistently being outplayed. The last time I got involved in a Wyoming game was four weeks ago w/ a LAST CHANCE POWER-DRIVE selection on San Diego State. That's one of two games the Cowboys have lost this year.

The big story here is Wyoming lost its starting QB last week. Sean Chambers made his 1st start midway through last season and really turned the team around. Chambers went 10-2 SU as the starter, but is now done for the season after injuring his knee LW vs. Nevada. Backup Tyler Vander Waal was hardly effective in completing only 3 of 10 pass attempts. The Cowboys were lucky they didn't need Vander Waal to do much as they were already up 24-3 when he came into the game. Boise State knows all too well the importance of having your starting QB on the field. Hank Bachmeier missed that BYU game, but returned last week and led the Broncos' offense to a 52-point effort against San Jose State.

The Broncos' defense did give up 42 points and almost 500 total yards last week, but that was on the road. Wyoming, with a backup QB making his first career start, is not a threat. That this game is on the "Blue Turf" is very significant. Wyoming has been outgained by nearly 100 YPG on the road this year (outgained in all three games) and averages only 22.0 PPG. That was w/ Chambers at QB. Boise State is 12-1 all-time vs. Wyoming (lone loss was in Laramie) w/ the avg MOV being 24.4 PPG. The Broncos are 17-1 SU the L18 MWC home games. My numbers say this number would be too low even if Chambers was the starter for Wyoming! 8* Boise State

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