3-Game NCAAF POWER-SWEEP
Iowa vs. Wisconsin,
11/09/2019 16:00 EDT,
Score: 22 - 24
Total: -110/+38 Over
8* Over Iowa/Wisconsin (4:00 ET): Another game w/ a really low total. Iowa has not fared well as an underdog, going just 4-11 ATS the L15 times. As a ROAD underdog, things get even more bleak as they are 0-7 SU/ATS the L7 times in that role. The Hawkeyes have not beaten a ranked opponent all season and have lost six of seven to Wisconsin, including 28-17 LY in Iowa City. Giving the Hawkeyes some hope here is the fact the Badgers have lost two straight games, one of them to Illinois. But both losses were on the road. I know both defenses are outstanding, but this Wisconsin offense is much better in Madison. Look for this one to sneak Over the total.
Both teams are off byes. Last we saw Wisconsin, they were getting blown out by Ohio State (lost 38-7). The Badgers entered that game absolutely shell-shocked after losing at Illinois the week prior, as a 29-point favorite. They'd been humming right along prior to that, scoring 35 or more points five times in a 6-0 start. I know the defense has pitched four shutouts this year, but those came against some pretty overmatched offenses. Five consecutive Unders have this O/U line as the lowest all season for the Badgers. Every Wisconsin game this season has seen at least 38 total pts scored. They average 41.2 PPG themselves at Camp Randall.
While Wisconsin's defense is #1 in the country in yards allowed, Iowa's is even stingier in the points allowed department. The Hawkeyes have allowed just 10.1 PPG, the lowest average in Kirk Ferentz's 21 years in Iowa City. They've allowed just 9 TDs all year, which is tied for 2nd fewest. But the oddsmakers were well aware of all this when they set this total. Iowa has gone Under four straight times, but only the last game (20-0 shutout of a terrible Northwestern team) had a lower O/U line. If both teams can score at least 17 points here, which really isn't asking much, then we're virtually assured of an Over. Wisconsin RB Jonathan Taylor has 19 TD's himself this season while Iowa QB Nate Stanley has the most passing yards in the Big 10. 8* Over Iowa/Wisconsin