Missouri vs. Georgia, 11/09/2019 19:00 EDT, Score: 0 - 27

Point Spread: +17/-115 Missouri

Sportsbook: Bodog

Result: Loss

10* Missouri (7:00 ET): While Tigers QB Kelly Bryant remains a "game-time decision" here, this is a play regardless. Admittedly, Mizzou has been a very inconsistent team this year. They've suffered some real head-scratching losses this year, including the last 2 weeks at Vanderbilt and Kentucky. They also lost the season opener at Wyoming. But it is certainly worth mentioning that there was a time when this was considered a Top 20 team in the country. B2B losses have sent them tumbling and while they now have to face to #6 Georgia, this will actually be the 1st time all season that the Tigers have been underdogs! Take the points w/ a dangerous team.

We certainly know that Georgia isn't immune to a shocking home loss. It was four weeks ago we faded them vs. South Carolina and they got beat 20-17 as 20.5-pt underdogs (in overtime). Since that time, they've bounced back to shutout Kentucky 21-0 and then last week win the big rivalry game over Florida (24-17). As mentioned earlier, that has the Dawgs ranked #6 in the initial CFP poll and pundits are back to talking about a path to the top four. Sounds like it could be an ideal time for another letdown. Not only is UGA coming off a win over Florida, but they have Auburn (a much bigger game) and Texas A&M on deck. This looks like the proverbial "sandwich spot" for the favorite.

I go back to something I talked about in the analysis for South Carolina-Georgia. UGA is a somewhat offensively challenged team. They've scored 24 or fewer points in four of their last five games. So it's problematic for them covering a spread this large. Not only has Missouri not been a dog previous to this, they'd actually been favored to win every game by least 9.5 points! The Tigers have the top pass defense in the entire SEC. It does sound like Bryant will play. While Missouri has only beaten Georgia once since becoming SEC rivals, they've covered five of the seven meetings, including the last four. So they have a history of playing the Dawgs tough. That continues Saturday. 10* Missouri

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