Joe D's 57-19-1 TOUCHDOWN PLAY

Joe D's 57-19-1 TOUCHDOWN PLAY

Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State, 11/28/2019 19:30 EDT, Score: 20 - 21

Point Spread: +2½/-102 Ole Miss

Sportsbook: PinnacleSports

Result: Win

Take Mississippi.
This is my TD play.
Game 311.
4:30 pm pst.

To be quite honest, the wrong team is favored here. I feel Mississippi should be a favorite of three points. Yes, both teams are 2-5 in conference play and the Rebels are 0-4 SU on the road in 2019, however, they are 3-1 ATS as a guest and an overall, 7-4 ATS on the campaign. Ole Miss comes into this contest well-rested, having not played since a November 16th cover vs. LSU, the team's third consecutive cover and their sixth in the last seven outings.
Mississippi State will be overconfident, having just thumped Abilene Christian, 45-7. This is a team that has not looked sharp at all this season. The matchup heavily favors Mississippi with the nation's seventh ranked rushing attack consisting of four solid ballcarriers. On the flipside, the Rebels will neutralize the Bulldogs ground game with their 34th ranked run defense. There is no home field advantage here, as the road team has covered the last four meetings. Mississippi is 6-1 ATS the last seven in the conference. Mississippi State is 1-5 ATS the last six in the conference. Take Mississippi. Thank you.

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