LA Lakers vs. Denver,
12/03/2019 21:00 EDT,
Score: 105 - 96
Total: -107/+209 Under
The Lakers and the Nuggets are both playing very good defensive basketball of late at a deliberate pace.
The Nuggets rank 1st in the league in ppg allowed at 101.8 ppg and rank 28th in pace, and just 22nd in ppg. Meanwhile, the Lakers 4th in ppg allowed and despite of the offensive talent on board rank just 12th in offensive production, behind the 17th ranked pace.
With this game promising to be physical, and knowing what the modus operandi is of both teams and the taxing conditions of playing in the thin air of the Mile High City it is an easy decision to make this an under recommendation.
Under is 4-0 in Lakers last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 5-0 in Lakers last 5 overall.Under is 3-0-1 in Lakers last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 5-0 in Lakers last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 11-4 in Lakers last 15 vs. NBA Northwest.Under is 19-7 in Lakers last 26 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 24-9 in Lakers last 33 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 13-5 in Lakers last 18 Tuesday games.Under is 35-16 in Lakers last 51 games following a ATS loss.Under is 40-19 in Lakers last 59 vs. Western Conference.Under is 29-14 in Lakers last 43 games following a straight up loss.
Under is 5-0 in Nuggets last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 7-1 in Nuggets last 8 vs. NBA Pacific.Under is 7-1 in Nuggets last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Under is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 overall.Under is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 8-2 in Nuggets last 10 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 28-10 in Nuggets last 38 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 22-8 in Nuggets last 30 home games.Under is 22-8 in Nuggets last 30 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 20-8-1 in Nuggets last 29 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 7-3 in Nuggets last 10 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 21-9 in Nuggets last 30 games following a ATS loss.
DENVER is 11-1 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or better) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 205 ppg.
LA LAKERS are 18-4 UNDER after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.
NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DENVER) - after 2 or more consecutive unders against opponent after 3 or more consecutive unders are 126-78 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.