Ottawa vs. Edmonton,
12/04/2019 21:30 EDT,
Score: 5 - 2
Total: -118/+6½ Under
GOALTENDERS: OTTAWA - ANDERS NILSSON, EDMONTON - MIKKO KOSKINEN
The Ottawa Senators are having a hard time finding the back of the net, averaging just 2.2 gpg on the road this season, and just 1.2 gpg in their L/5 overall tilts and are on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 5 nights, and will once again have problems scoring because of what Im betting will be a lack of energy and obvious cohesiveness. What Im betting here is that the Sens go into turtle mode, and play out of transition which will effect the games pace and offensive output.
My projections estimate that Ottawa will not exceed a 2 goal output. Note: EDMONTON is 32-7 UNDER in home games when they allow 2 or less goals over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.8 gpg going on the board.
EDMONTON is 11-4 UNDER (+6.3 Units) against poor defensive teams - 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% or more pp this season with a combined average of 4.8 gpg scored.
NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more (EDMONTON) - off a road win against a division rival, tired team - playing their 3rd game in 5 days are 168-114 L/23 seasons for a long term 60% conversion rate for bettors.