ROGERS' 10* NON-CONF TOTAL ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE!
Denver vs. New York,
12/05/2019 19:30 EDT,
Score: 129 - 92
Total: -110/+201½ Over
The set-up: When I bet totals, I bet the "situation" (primiarily anyways), and in this case I expect these two hungry sides who normally struggle with offensive consistency, to instead get out and push the pace and to easily eclipse this very low number. Denver has looked good overall, but it enters off a poor performance and subsequent loss at home to the Lakers and as such, I look for it to take out its frustrations on the defensively inept Knicks. New York has difficulties scoring and now it faces the Nuggets tough defense, but clearly the home side will be out to push the pace in an attempt to get their opponent out of its comfort zone. So, situationally I think this one definitely sets up as a "shootout."
The pick: Also note that the Nuggets have seen the total go over the number in eight of their last 12 off an upset loss at home as the favorite, while the Knicks have seen the total soar over in nine of their last 13 after scoring 90 points or less in their previous outing. This number is a tad low in my opinion.
10* ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE on the OVER Nuggets/Knicks.