Memphis vs. Phoenix,
12/11/2019 21:00 EDT,
Score: 115 - 108
Total: -105/+231 Over
The Suns rank 5th in offence in the league but just 22nd in ppg allowed and are the 8th ranked pace and will once again come right at their opponents tonight which will bring them otu of their shell in a chase mode, which will result Im betting in a high scoring affair that eclipses this total.
PHOENIX is 8-0 OVER in home games versus struggling defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season with a combined average of 241.1 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 10-2 OVER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season with a combined average of 236.2 ppg going on the scoreboard.
NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a struggling team (25-40%) are 24-5 OVER L/23 seasons with a combined average score of more than 231 ppg going on the board.