***LATE ADD*** O/U POWER-BOMB (Only $25!) ~ Off 5-2 Sunday!
Evansville vs. Jacksonville State,
12/16/2019 20:30 EDT,
Score: 59 - 85
Total: -110/+138 Over
8* Over Evansville/Jacksonville St (8:30 ET): Again, I'm targeting a game where we've got one team on a pretty lengthy O/U streak and looking to buck the trend. In this case, it's Jacksonville State that has gone Under six straight times. The number isn't quite as low as I'd hoped, but it's still a lot lower than where it was when the Gamecocks faced Evansville last year. That game went way Under (final score was 55-50), but this Evansville team isn't going to have any games that low scoring this year. Take the Over.
Evansville has five straight. Three of those wins have been by six points or less, which is why I backed off from laying points with the Purple Aces here, even though they are clearly the "bettors choice" tonight. The five-game win streak began w/ a 115-112 win over Morgan State, which went to three overtimes. While that amount of scoring certainly skews the Purple Aces' season averages, I still hang my hat on them averaging almost 80.0 PPG (79.8) while they allow 76.6. They've given up at least 71 in over half their games played while they've also scored 70 or more eight times.
Jacksonville State may be in a scoring slump, but that's because most of those games were played on the road or at neutral sites. Now their return home last week to play Troy didn't go according to plan, as they lost 60-55. But I don't see the Gamecocks shooting 34.1% at home again like they did in that game. Nor do I see Evansville shooting below 40% again like they did Saturday at WI-Green Bay. The Purple Aces were lucky that the Phoenix shot just 33.3%, the kind of percentage you rarely see from an Evansville opponent. 8* Over Evansville/Jacksonville State