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NFL Comp

NFL Comp

Baltimore vs. Cleveland, 12/22/2019 13:00 EDT, Score: 31 - 15

Point Spread: -10/+103 Baltimore

Sportsbook: PinnacleSports

Result: Win

Im always out looking for line value and it might seem like there is with the home dog here today. However there is not according to my score projections. With that said, its important to note that Ravens have had the pedal to the proverbial metal since the beginning of this pre season, and Im betting nothing changes here today vs the under achieving Browns. HC Harbaugh has feasted against poor run defences in his time in Baltimore going 8-1 ATS in road games versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 130 or more rushing yards/game in the second half of the season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +15.9 ppg. With that said, Im betting on QB LeMar Jackson and company running wild today on their way to a lopsided victory vs a team with talent but no chemistry. BALTIMORE is also 6-0 ATS in road games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +16.9 ppg.

The Browns are 0-13 ATS /SU L/13 on grass off a double-digit loss as a TD-plus dog in which they committed at least two turnovers with the average ppg diff clicking in at -19.1 ppg with every loss coming by 12 points per game or more. ( the Browns had their butts handed to them last week in Arizona by a lopsided 38- 24 count and look DOA)

Play on the Baltimore Ravens to cover

Projected score: Baltimore 34 Browns 13


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