Buffalo vs. New England,
12/21/2019 16:30 EDT,
Score: 17 - 24
Point Spread: +6½/-104 Buffalo
I think points will come at a premium for both sides at Foxboro this Saturday, and even though we're seeing a very low total I don't think the books can make this low enough. Buffalo is averaging only 20.9 ppg while the Pats have held opponents to 12.9 ppg and the Bills have scored 17 points in back-to-back games. As for New England, while it broke out for 34 points last time out, that was against the Bengals ... It had averaged only 17.6 ppg through its last five prior to that and the Bills defense ranks second to the Pats for points allowed at 15.9 ppg.
Under is 7-0 in Bills last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 8-3 in Patriots last 11 home games. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Additionally, I like the Bills to keep this relatively close as a low-scoring game should favor the underdog, and the Patriots have struggled to get separation lately while the Bills are 4-1 ATS in their last five, only ATS loss by 0.5 points vs. Baltimore.
8* play on Buffalo Bills.