Contrarian Crusher CFB 10*

Contrarian Crusher CFB 10*

BYU vs. Hawaii, 12/24/2019 20:00 EDT, Score: 34 - 38

Point Spread: -1½/-110 BYU

Sportsbook: Betonline

Result: Loss

Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach CFB Rotation #221 Tuesday 10* Top Play Brigham Young Cougars (-) @ Hawaii Rainbow Warriors @ 8 ET - Why is the team with two less wins favored here even though they are on the road? Exactly! In typical contrarian fashion I am on the side which, perhaps, on the surface seems a little off. Look for the Cougars to crush the Warriors in this one. Yes, Hawaii has the better numbers on offense but BYU is the much better team on the defensive side of the ball. The Cougars are off a low-scoring loss at San Diego State in which they held the Aztecs to 13 points. Over their final 5 games of the season, Brigham Young allowed only 17 points per game. Give the Warriors credit too as they did beat San Diego State and they held them to just 11 points. But lets talk about how Hawaii's defense performed in their other 4 home games dating back to October. In those 4 games as a host, the Warriors have allowed an average of 42 points per game! Again, you can see the huge differences in terms of the level these two defenses have been playing at. In their 5 losses this season Hawaii has allowed an average of 48 points per game! In their 5 losses this season, BYU has allowed an average of 28.6 points per game! Look for the stronger defense to be the key in this match-up. The Cougars are 6-2 ATS when off an upset loss as a favorite. When the Warriors are off a road loss in conference action they have gone 0-6 ATS in their next game. BYU has failed to cover 4 straight games while Hawaii had covered 3 in a row prior to the deflating loss to Boise State. That is helping to give us even more line value here as there is negative perception about the Cougars even though they had won 5 in a row SU prior to the loss to San Diego State. Also, Brigham Young has defeated the Warriors each of the past two seasons by an average margin of 18 points. Look for another double digit win here. 10* BYU

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