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CHRISTMAS DAY 10* BLUE CHIP TOTAL! (BOS/TOR @ 12 ET!)

CHRISTMAS DAY 10* BLUE CHIP TOTAL! (BOS/TOR @ 12 ET!)

Boston vs. Toronto, 12/25/2019 12:00 EDT, Score: 118 - 102

Total: -110/+213 Under

Sportsbook: TopBet

Result: Loss

I'm playing on Boston/Toronto UNDER the total. This season's earlier meeting finished above the total but only barely. The offense started slowly that day as only 43 points were scored in the first quarter. I won't be surprised if the same is true for an early game on Christmas Day. A look at the first quarter of the early game on Christmas Day in recent years shows scores of 42, 50, 45 and 46. Either way, with the season now much further along and these teams within half a game of each other on top of the Atlantic, I expect the defensive intensity to remain high the entire way. While the Raptors have played some high-scoring games recently, those scores are a bit misleading due to going to OT and/or because of the opponent. Note that the UNDER is 2-0 when they were listed as home underdogs and 3-0 when they were off three or more games where they'd allow at least 105 points. The Celtics have seen the UNDER go 9-5 on the road this season and the UNDER is also 3-0 when they played with two day's rest. Look for this one to prove lower-scoring than many will be expecting.


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