*10* TOTAL POWER ~ BOUNCE BACK MODE!
Washington vs. Detroit,
12/26/2019 19:00 EDT,
Score: 102 - 132
Total: -115/+231 Under
10* Under Wizards/Pistons (7:05 ET): Washington has one of the more interesting statistical profiles in the league. They are 4th in offensive efficiency (trailing only "heavyweight teams" Dallas, Milwaukee and Houston) but dead last (30th) in defensive efficiency. That's simply not a "winning formula," so it's not a surprise to me that they are stuck near the bottom of the Eastern Conference with a 9-20 SU record. Of course, given the statistical profile, it's also not a surprise to see that the Wizards are one of the top Over teams (17-11-1).
Detroit again finds itself mired in mediocrity. They are clearly better than the worst teams in the Eastern Conference, but also aren't nearly good enough to win a playoff series. Right now, just making the playoffs seems unlikely as the Pistons are 11-20 SU, which is barely better than the Wizards! They've lost five in a row (0-5 ATS as well) and have been outscored by over 15 PPG during that stretch.
The Pistons' recent defensive efforts leave a lot to be desired. Given that and who they are facing tonight, you might be thinking Over is the right call. But O/U lines, such as this one, are starting to get a bit high for Wizards games. A big reason for tonight's high O/U line is that these teams just met 10 days ago here in Detroit and it was a ridiculous shooting night by both sides. Washington ended up winning 133-119. Don't expect anything like that here as the teams are likely to come out rusty after the holiday break. The dichotomy of "all offense, no defense" for the Wizards has to tighten moving forward. Oddsmakers aren't going to let this team keep going Over "all the time." 10* Under Wizards/Pistons