Oklahoma State vs. Texas A&M,
12/27/2019 18:45 EDT,
Score: 21 - 24
Total: -110/+54 Under
Texas Bowl - NRG Stadium - Houston, TX
Oklahoma State's offense features the nation's leading rusher in sophomore back Chuba Hubbard. He ran for 1,936 yards on 309 carries (6.8 yards per carry) in the regular season. So Im betting they pound away on the ground today, and eat up clock time. Meanwhile, the Texas A&M D, allowed 12 rushing touchdowns all year, so output projections are low according to my estimates. The Aggies have played one of the more difficult schedules in the country. And have battled Auburn, Alabama and LSU and Georgia, so slowing down Oklahoma State offence will not be an extremely difficult task, while their own offence has been less than cohesive this season. This combination of projected scenarios makes for a combined score that stays on the low side of the total.
CFB teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (TEXAS A&M) - good offensive team (5.6 to 6.2 YPP) against a team with a poor defense (5.6 to 6.2 YPP), after allowing 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 29-7 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.
CFB All teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (TEXAS A&M) - good offensive team (5.6 to 6.2 YPP) against a team with a poor defense (5.6 to 6.2 YPP), after allowing 525 or more total yards in their previous game are 27-4 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors.
CFB Neutral field teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (OKLAHOMA ST) - after having won 4 out of their last 5 games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 41-13 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.