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FRIDAY CFB MONEY-LINE VIOLATOR!

FRIDAY CFB MONEY-LINE VIOLATOR!

Michigan State vs. Wake Forest, 12/27/2019 15:20 EDT, Score: 27 - 21

Money Line: -180 Michigan State

Sportsbook: Bodog

Result: Win

I'm playing MICHIGAN STATE on the money-line. I actually really like the Spartans to not only win but cover. However, with most shops at -4 and this line at less than two dollars, I feel that the moneyline currently offers better value. I may still add an ATS play on the Spartans but am holding out with the hope the line could come down. While the Demon Deacons have the superior record, I believe the Spartans are the more talented team. While the Spartans biggest advantage is on the defensive side of the ball, I also expect Elijah Collins to have a big day, the offensive line creating some lanes for him to run. The Deacons are 2-4 ATS the past six times that they were underdogs in the 3.5 to 10 range and they were only 1-5 SU in those games. During the same stretch, the Spartans were 6-2 ATS as favorites in the -3.5 to -10 range, winning seven of those outright. Expect them to improve on those stats Friday afternoon, helping to take some of the sting out of a disappointing season overall.


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