Cleveland vs. Boston, 12/27/2019 16:00 EDT, Score: 117 - 129

Point Spread: +13½/-110 Cleveland

Sportsbook: Bookmaker

Result: Win

The Celtics are big favourites here, vs the struggling Cleveland Cavaliers. I know this is the new NBA and laying lumber with upper tier teams is becoming the norm, but in my usual contrarian fashion, and my old school mind set I believe this line to be slightly bloated thanks to both recency bias and perceived expectations that actually don't jive with what is according to my projections a one possession extension on a line that should be closer to -11.

Tonight Im betting the Celtics will over look their opponents while the away team plays up to their opponents eyeing a chance at an upset vs a upper tier side.

The Celtics are 0-15 ATS /7-8 SU L/15 off a 10+ win as a road favorite when they won 4 straight vs current opponent.

BOSTON is 4-15 ATS L/19 in home games after 3 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better.

NBA Favorites (BOSTON) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 15-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (CLEVELAND) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 46-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cleveland Cavaliers to cover

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